Not actually Erin.
& is used with permission.
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To be clear, it isn't that the track has shifted east, aiming Irma's predicted northward turn right at me; it's that the various spaghetti models are starting to agree on the same general path.
Therefore, my posture has changed from "Wait and See" to "Plan to Evacuate". I've started packing and planning my route, with an eye to leaving on Saturday. This way, if Irma's course is different that predicted and evacuation isn't necessary, I haven't already spent the gas money and put miles on the car, but I ought to have enough lead time to get out before the rush if she's still headed my way and/or the spaghetti models form a consensus.
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