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Not actually Erin. & is used with permission. |
Sunday, June 13, 2021
Prepping for Dad's Return
Thursday, June 10, 2021
Supply and Demand Today
- Supply of new homes is limited because of a slowdown in construction. With everyone being locked down in their own homes, a lot of workers weren't available to build the new houses.
- Construction material prices are going through the roof for a couple of reasons;
- Businesses like lumber mills had to deal with lock-downs.
- Shippers are having to pay more for fuel (more on that later).
- Warehouses and lumberyards lost a lot of their entry-level staff to increased unemployment payment. It pays better to stay home than it does to work low-paying jobs in a lot of markets.
- Demand is high due to people staying home and starting home improvement jobs.
- Rumors of investors buying real estate to offset losses in their normal markets are floating around on the conspiracy sites. I don't know how much credence to give such rumors; I try to stay out of the stock market and other gambling halls.
- Inflation is gathering speed, so people are putting their money into housing and real estate since those are tangible assets that rarely have zero value. Paying off a mortgage in inflationary times means using money that is worth considerably less as the loan matures.
- Ever since someone figured out that you can repurpose computer graphics cards and main processors to “mine” for (create) cryptocurrencies, the suppliers of those chips have been struggling to meet demand.
- Since every new car/truck made today has several computers built in, the lack of processors has limited the number of new cars available. This is driving up the prices of clean used vehicles and killing the new car sellers. When most of your paycheck comes from commissions of sales and there is nothing to sell, you're looking for a new job or unemployment.
- People being locked up in their homes has led to a surge in sales of new electronics as they upgrade their entertainment and networks to be able to work from home. Increased demand in times of reduced supply equals higher prices.
- A fire at one of the major producers of the polysilicon which is used to make chips is going to further reduce the supply, meaning prices will go up even more. Solar panels use the same material, so expect a price jump in that market.
- We have had several different political changes is the last 10-20 years, but nothing seems to be curtailing the sale of guns and ammunition in the USA. Threats to gun rights? Sales go up. Those threats go away? People restock, so sales go up. New threats to owning certain guns? Sales go up again. Bad times mean people buy guns for protection, and good times mean they buy the ones they want. Gun makers are having a hard time keeping product on the shelves.
- Ammunition factories are running 24/7/365 and can't keep up with demand, which means the price goes up. Scalpers buy in bulk and resell at high prices, further raising the market prices.
- We consistently set records for guns sales every month. People are buying a lot of guns. More first-time gun buyers means more consumers of ammunition, so demand goes up which reduces the supply and raises the prices.
- We went from being energy independent for the first time in 40 years back to importing oil faster than I thought possible. Pick your reasons for this, but it means a loss of jobs and an outflow of money. Money sent overseas only comes back if we have something to sell, which is difficult when the country is locked down and businesses are closed.
- Hackers shutting down a major pipeline company on the east coast didn't help anything. We use pipelines because we can't move enough petroleum by road or rail to meet demand. Prices increased, and there were a few states that were having a hard time getting fuel at any price for a month or so.
- New oil exploration has been shut down as well as new pipelines. I just saw an article today that the Keystone XL pipeline, which has been a political football for years, was finally killed for good. The company building it has given up and will soon be dismantling the portions that it had been able to build. Reduced supply without a reduction in demand means increased prices.
- People staying home and ordering everything online has meant an surge in delivery companies. Since UPS, FedEx, USPS, and all of the others use fuel of some sort, the demand has stayed fairly consistent. A delivery truck is going to burn about as much as a personal vehicle going to a store.
- Another target of the “ransomware” attacks by hackers was JBS, a company that provides about 20% of the beef and pork on the American market. Any time you threaten 20% of a market, prices are going to go up sharply, and any ransom paid out will be passed on to the consumers in increased prices. We'll also get to pay for any new security for their computer networks.
- Beef and pork prices were already rising due to staffing problems in the packing plants. COVID-19and various government regulations had a huge impact on the people that work in those plants, slowing production and therefore reducing the supply.
- A lot of small-business food shops went out of business due to the lock-downs, because no customers means no income. This may recover in a year or two as new people reopen shuttered shops, but we'll have to see if the investment capital is going to be available.
- Several statements from government officials about cutting the consumption of meat have caused concern in the industry as well. We're likely to see a war between the lobbyists soon: the beef and pork producers have an established position with politicians, but the New Green Deal proponents have deep pockets.
- Prices on commodities like corn and soybeans have doubled in the last six months. I deal with farmers every day and they're happy to see the extra income, but their costs are going up just as quickly. Last year was a below-average year for yields, so there's not much left in storage, and this year is shaping up to be a repeat. If harvests are down again this year, prices will stay high and be passed on to us, the consumers.
As preppers we can control supply by growing or making our own things, and we have some control over demand by switching up our preferences. Prices only matter when we have to go to outside sources, so being able to limit that reduces our exposure to inflation and scarcity. Stock up when prices are low and supply is high for the times when they flip the other way.
Wednesday, June 9, 2021
Restock and Realign
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| https://amzn.to/2TWLRJF |
- Two-person backpacking cookset is lightweight (1 pound 12 ounces), compact (packed size 7.75 x 5 inches), and efficient for backcountry trips
- Includes 1.5L hard-anodized non-stick aluminum pot, 2.5L hard-anodized aluminum pot, strainer lid, 2 deep dish plates, 2 insulated mugs, pot handle
- Camp cookware features a smaller non-stick coated pot for sauces and simmers, and a larger uncoated pot for boiling water and meal prep
- Polypropylene deep-dish plates can accommodate any meal, and 12.5-ounce mugs are insulated with sip-thru lids; plates and mugs are color-coded
- All cook set components nest within the 2.5L pot for easy packing; set can be adapted to size of group and length of trip
- Keep track of gear, even that equipment isn't used regularly. Make a list of what you have, where it is, and keep a copy where you can't lose it.
- I purchased one MSR Quick 2 System Cook Set from Amazon: $99.95 with Prime.
If you have comments, suggestions or corrections, please post them so we all can learn. And remember, Some Is Always Better Than None!
NOTE: All items tested were purchased by me. No products have been loaned in exchange for a favorable review. Any items sent to me for T&E will be listed as such. Suck it Feds.
Tuesday, June 8, 2021
Making a DIY Spot Welder
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| Rear view of the author's spot welder, showing power cord and switch. |
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| Side view of the author's spot welder. Note the switch on the top arm. |
Unfortunately, the heavy wire I purchased isn’t as flexible
as that used in the video, so I can’t separate the top arm to spot weld larger
or more awkwardly shaped pieces. Since I wouldn’t be removing the arm, one
change I made to the design was adding wooden spacers between the sides of the
main housing and the arm so that it’s less likely to twist or deflect when I close
the jaws of the spot welder.
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| The business end of the author's spot welder. |
Friday, June 4, 2021
Junk Preps
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Not actually Erin. & is used with permission. |
Now, I'm not going to tell you not to throw these things out. I'm a firm believer in the concept of "The things you own end up owning you," and your preps should serve you instead of the other way around. If you want my permission to throw them away, then I am telling you that you can throw them away with a clear conscience; after all, if they had value, you would have placed them with your preps. Clean up your clutter with a clear conscience.
However, if that isn't enough and you still can't bear to throw away these junk-but-not-trash items, I have another solution for you: find a cheap duffel bag (and if you have a collection of junk preps, I know that you have at least one gym bag gathering dust somewhere in your house) and fill it with those preps. If you have multiple bags, then try to distribute the junk preps evenly.
The purpose of this bag is so that you will have something to give away to friends, neighbors, or people who come asking for help after a disaster. You aren't giving away anything whose absence will hurt you or your family, but you will still be able to give away something if you're the kind of person who hates to turn away the needy.
As a bonus, the low quality of the items will serve as a kind of camouflage for you; if you are convincing enough with your "This is what we can spare" delivery, then they may very well think that what you have kept for yourself is similarly low quality, and may not bother you for future handouts.
Be ever mindful of the fact that giving away anything after a disaster is a sign that you have something that others may want, so there will be times that the wisest course of action is to turn others away or otherwise ignore them. As always, let your conscience and common sense be your guide.
Thursday, June 3, 2021
New Nuclear Power?
Having grown up in the shadow of a nuclear power plant, we dealt with a lot of emergency planning and notification information coming from the operator of the plant, FEMA, and the Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC). A network of warning sirens was placed about 15 miles in every direction around the plant. Testing every month became just another part of life, kind of like the Emergency Alert System tests on the radio. Our house was far enough away that we were not in any of the emergency zones, but we still got an annual map of evacuation routes. Growing up during the Cold War, a lot of what we now call prepping was just everyday life back then.
This new reactor, however, is of a new design. The older nuclear reactors used a (barely) sub-critical mass of Uranium to heat water under pressure (superheating)*, transferred heat from that very hot water to a secondary system at lower pressure where it would create steam that could spin a turbine connected to a generator. Called a “light-water reactor” (LWR) or Pressurized Water Reactor (PWR), this has been the only design approved for power generation since the 1950s in the USA. (Other countries have other designs, and they don't always have the same safety record.) LWRs have the major problem of containing the superheated water, which leads to huge containment vessels and redundant pumps, adding to the cost of construction and operation.
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| http://large.stanford.edu/courses/2017/ph241/shaw-s1/ |
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| https://www.engineersaustralia.org.au/sites/default/files/resource-files/2017-01/IntegralFastReactor-Hardy-29Apr2010.pdf |
The nuclear side of the reactor will
still work the same and will still have some of the same issues. We
don't yet have a good way or place to store spent fuel rods, so they'll
be a sore spot. Reprocessing those rods tends to generate Plutonium
(Pu), and our current needs for that have already been met. Certain
groups get very vocal when you start talking about stockpiling the
makings of nuclear weapons, so Pu is a no-no.
We'll have to wait and see what happens with this project. The design is much safer than a LWR, but the current political and social atmosphere is not friendly to new sources of energy, and pipelines, new oil well drilling permits, and new refineries are all on hold or canceled. Building anything will take years to get all of the permits and settle all of the lawsuits, but we need to have something making the electricity for all of those new electric vehicles that are being sold.
Wednesday, June 2, 2021
Stuck On Me
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| https://amzn.to/3g7FB9c |
- Pack of 3, Each 20 count, Total 60 bandages
- Ideal for swimming, gardening, canoeing, fishing, water sports, and frequent hand washing
- Features a unique diamond shape, 360-degree seal, clear, breathable material
- Perfect for treating minor wounds such as cuts, scrapes, and blisters
- Change bandage daily, or more often is the bandage gets dirty or wet.
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| Little Owie |
The area around the cut has that white, wrinkled up skin you see from getting wet, but it's actually slick with antibiotic! After being exposed to the air overnight I bandaged it up again and went to work, safe from dirt and alcohol getting into my cut.
Recap And Takeaway
- I've used these band-aids for years. I do have other bandages in my gear, but these are the ones I grab most often.
- A three pack (3x 20 count boxes) of 3M Nexcare Waterproof Clear Bandage from Amazon: $14.95 with Prime.
If you have comments, suggestions or corrections, please post them so we all can learn. And remember, Some Is Always Better Than None!
NOTE: All items tested were purchased by me. No products have been loaned in exchange for a favorable review. Any items sent to me for T&E will be listed as such. Suck it Feds.
The Fine Print
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution- Noncommercial- No Derivative Works 3.0 License.











